Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.246362 0.288791 0.338916 0.403210 0.484530 0.585401 0.722303
2025-02-09 0.184692 0.236814 0.306470 0.409315 0.562713 0.792770 1.185092
2025-02-16 0.151052 0.206430 0.287426 0.420792 0.648832 1.054344 1.922262
2025-02-23 0.128351 0.183960 0.271093 0.427617 0.727944 1.351058 3.025773
2025-03-02 0.111732 0.166242 0.256486 0.430729 0.800237 1.684553 4.686265
2025-03-09 0.098488 0.150982 0.241857 0.428227 0.859402 2.036677 7.111938
2025-03-16 0.087239 0.136954 0.226164 0.418447 0.897623 2.370896 10.437256
2025-03-23 0.080939 0.130380 0.222668 0.433011 1.004507 3.038054 18.569517
2025-03-30 0.073232 0.120083 0.209974 0.423171 1.040458 3.501328 28.784253
2025-04-06 0.068301 0.114215 0.205044 0.430405 1.133182 4.356006 55.028640
2025-04-13 0.062969 0.106879 0.195800 0.424319 1.180653 5.086189 99.586460
2025-04-20 0.059477 0.102682 0.192562 0.433239 1.288940 6.428854 253.745845
2025-04-27 0.056737 0.099740 0.191821 0.449741 1.444084 8.620316 1149.857887
2025-05-04 0.053905 0.096287 0.189406 0.461107 1.591302 11.419253 14308.034500
2025-05-11 0.051532 0.093510 0.188134 0.475885 1.771999 15.707617 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049056 0.090227 0.185108 0.484323 1.933037 21.158574 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046602 0.086728 0.181010 0.488112 2.076812 28.101543 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044096 0.082861 0.175421 0.485201 2.181744 36.027975 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041480 0.078509 0.167993 0.473695 2.223357 43.355616 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040201 0.077070 0.168100 0.490854 2.495831 68.535039 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037986 0.073277 0.161325 0.479260 2.537731 84.462149 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036639 0.071392 0.159587 0.487784 2.766300 132.082176 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034890 0.068414 0.154408 0.480612 2.850904 177.515969 NaN